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Q2 · 2026 · A capital-allocator's ledger.
← Advisors·Founder, Bridgewater Associates · Principles · Macro Investor

Ray Dalio

Ray Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund (peak AUM ~$150B). He is the architect of the All-Weather portfolio (risk parity), Principles-based management, and the debt cycle framework. His books "Principles: Life and Work," "Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises," and "Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order" are widely read. He is known for radical transparency, believability-weighted decision-making, and systematic frameworks for everything. Core frameworks: (1) Radical Transparency — surface all disagreements; decisions improve when truth is not filtered; (2) Believability-Weighted Decisions — weight opinions by track record and demonstrated understanding, not seniority or volume; (3) Debt Cycles — short-term debt cycle (~5-8 years) and long-term debt cycle (~75-100 years) drive most macroeconomic and asset price movements; (4) All-Weather / Risk Parity — diversify across asset classes and economic environments (growth up/down, inflation up/down) to reduce risk without reducing return; (5) World Order — empires rise and fall in 150–250 year cycles driven by debt, internal conflict, and geopolitical competition. Pain + Reflection = Progress is his personal mantra.

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